Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) are clear favourites to beat Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) in Match 10 of IPL 2026 at the Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Hyderabad on Sunday, April 5. Bookmakers price SRH around 1.70-1.75 odds (implied win probability of ~57-59%).
SRH return home after a thumping 65-run win over KKR, while LSG are winless after being bowled out for just 141 against DC. This 3:30 PM afternoon start changes the dynamics, as dew will not be a factor. This article covers the odds, playing XIs, pitch report, weather, head-to-head, and match prediction.
How SRH and LSG Have Started IPL 2026
SRH have had a mixed start. They lost to RCB in the opener (201 chased down in 15.4 overs), but came roaring back with a 65-run demolition of KKR at Eden Gardens. Batting first, SRH posted 226, with Abhishek Sharma (48 off 21), Travis Head (46 off 21), and Heinrich Klaasen (52 off 35) all firing.
SRH’s bowling was equally impressive against KKR. Jaydev Unadkat took 3/21, while Eshan Malinga and Nitish Kumar Reddy grabbed 2 wickets each, bowling KKR out for 161 in just 16 overs. That performance showed SRH can defend big totals when their bowling clicks.
In contrast, LSG had a forgettable start, losing to Delhi Capitals by 6 wickets at home in Lucknow. They were bowled out for just 141, with no batter crossing 40. Abdul Samad (36) and Mitchell Marsh (35) top-scored, but DC’s Sameer Rizvi (70* off 47) made the chase look comfortable.
The big talking point for LSG is Rishabh Pant opening the batting. The captain promoted himself to open alongside Marsh, a bold move that didn’t pay off against DC. Nicholas Pooran has been in terrible form, averaging just 15 in T20s in 2026 with only 121 runs in 99 balls. LSG need their big guns to fire.
SRH vs LSG Match Details
Here are the key details for Match 10 of IPL 2026.
| Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
| Match | SRH vs LSG, 10th Match |
| Tournament | Indian Premier League (IPL) 2026 |
| Date | Sunday, April 5, 2026 |
| Time | 3:30 PM IST (afternoon game) |
| Venue | Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Hyderabad |
| Live Streaming | Star Sports Network / JioHotstar (Free) |
SRH vs LSG Betting Odds Comparison
SRH are clear favourites. Home advantage, recent form (65-run win over KKR), and a batting lineup tailor-made for Hyderabad’s flat track all tilt the scales heavily in their favour.
| Platform | SRH Win Odds | LSG Win Odds | Implied SRH Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.70 | 2.15 | ~59% |
| Bet365 | 1.72 | 2.10 | ~58% |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 2.10 | ~58% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 2.08 | ~57% |
SRH sit at roughly 57-59% implied win probability. Sky247 goes even further, giving SRH a 62% win chance.This is one of the wider gaps in IPL 2026 so far, reflecting LSG’s batting struggles and SRH’s home dominance.
SRH vs LSG Predicted Playing XIs
Pat Cummins remains unavailable for SRH (in Australia for fitness test). Brydon Carse could return if fit after a bruised hand. LSG bowling coach Bharat Arun confirmed Digvesh Rathi will play as impact player.
Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) Predicted XI
Abhishek Sharma, Travis Head, Ishan Kishan (c & wk), Heinrich Klaasen, Nitish Kumar Reddy, Aniket Verma, Salil Arora, Harsh Dubey, Shivang Kumar, Jaydev Unadkat, Eshan Malinga.
SRH’s opening pair is terrifying. Abhishek Sharma (48 off 21 vs KKR) and Travis Head (46 off 21 vs KKR) put on 82 in just 5.4 overs in their last match. On Hyderabad’s flat deck, that combination could destroy any bowling attack in the powerplay.
Shivang Kumar, the rare left-arm wrist-spinner, is an intriguing selection. He conceded fewer runs than both Narine and Varun against KKR and offers a genuine point of difference. SRH may use Liam Livingstone as impact player for extra batting firepower.
Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) Predicted XI
Mitchell Marsh, Rishabh Pant (c & wk), Aiden Markram, Nicholas Pooran, Ayush Badoni, Abdul Samad, Mukul Choudhary, Mohammed Shami, Anrich Nortje, Mohsin Khan, Prince Yadav.
Rishabh Pant opening the batting is the big experiment. It didn’t work against DC, but the move gives LSG a left-right combination at the top and allows Pant more balls to play himself in. Aiden Markram arrives in superb form after scoring 286 runs at avg 47.66 in the T20 World Cup 2026.
LSG’s pace attack is their strongest suit. Mohammed Shami (traded from SRH, took 1 wicket and went for just 28 runs vs DC), Anrich Nortje (express pace), and Mohsin Khan (economical in the opener) give LSG three quality seamers. Digvesh Rathi comes in as impact player for spin support.
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium Pitch Report
The Hyderabad pitch is a batting paradise with a fast outfield. SRH’s highest-ever IPL total of 287/3 came at this ground against MI in IPL 2024. The average first innings score has been around 191-230 depending on the season.
| Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
| Pitch Behaviour | Flat track, true bounce. Ball comes on nicely. Slows down as game progresses. |
| Batting Conditions | Excellent. Short square boundaries (63-66m). Stroke-play rewarded throughout. |
| Bowling Conditions | Spinners favoured over pacers as pitch slows. Pacers effective early with the new ball. |
| Avg. 1st Innings Score | Around 191 (IPL 2025) to 230 (afternoon games) |
| Par Score (Expected) | Around 200-220 runs |
| Highest Total at Venue | 287/3 by SRH vs MI (IPL 2024) |
No Dew in This Afternoon Game
This is a crucial difference from most IPL matches. The 3:30 PM start means there will be no dew. The ball stays dry throughout, which actually helps bowlers, especially spinners who can grip the ball better.
Without the dew advantage, the toss becomes less decisive than in evening matches. However, the pitch tends to slow down in the second innings as the afternoon heat dries it out further. This means batting first could be the smarter option, as the team setting a big total can let the pitch do the work in the second innings.
Weather Forecast for SRH vs LSG
Hyderabad is experiencing extreme heat. This will be the hottest match of IPL 2026 so far.
| Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
| Temperature | Around 36°C at start of play (extremely hot) |
| Weather | Partly cloudy, hot and humid |
| Rain Probability | 0% chance of rain |
| Humidity | 55-60% |
| Wind | 12-15 km/h |
| Alert | Yellow alert in Telangana; thunderstorms expected till April 7 |
Despite the yellow alert for thunderstorms in Telangana, no rain is expected during match hours on Sunday afternoon. The scorching 36°C heat will test the fitness of fast bowlers severely. LSG’s four-pacer strategy could backfire if their seamers tire in the death overs under this punishing sun.
SRH vs LSG Head-to-Head Record in IPL
Here is the twist in this matchup: despite SRH being favourites on current form, LSG actually lead the head-to-head 4-2 from 6 meetings.
| Statistic | Result |
|---|---|
| Total IPL Matches Played | 6 |
| LSG Wins | 4 |
| SRH Wins | 2 |
| LSG Win % | 66.67% |
| LSG’s Last Win | IPL 2025 (chased 190 in 16.1 overs) |
| SRH’s First Home Game of 2026 | This match |
| Key Subplot | Mohammed Shami (LSG) was traded FROM SRH |
LSG’s Surprising Dominance Over SRH
LSG have won 4 of 6 matches against SRH, including their last encounter in 2025 where they chased 190 in just 16.1 overs. Despite SRH’s explosive batting, LSG have historically found ways to contain them and chase effectively.
However, this match carries an extra edge: Mohammed Shami was traded from SRH to LSG before IPL 2026 for ₹10 crore. He knows the Hyderabad pitch inside out and will bowl against his former teammates. On the other hand, Aiden Markram was SRH’s former captain and is now in the LSG camp. Both players will have points to prove.
Key Players to Watch
Both squads have match-winners who can turn the game on its head. Here are the players who hold the key to Sunday’s afternoon contest.
| Player | Team | Why They Matter |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Head | SRH | 46 off 21 vs KKR. 82-run opening stand with Abhishek in 5.4 overs. The most destructive powerplay batter in IPL 2026. |
| Ishan Kishan | SRH | 80 off 38 vs RCB. Leading SRH at home for the first time. His form with the bat and captaincy are both crucial. |
| Heinrich Klaasen | SRH | 52 off 35 vs KKR. SRH’s leading run-getter in IPL 2025. His death-overs finishing could be match-defining. |
| Rishabh Pant | LSG | Captain under pressure after 141 all out vs DC. Opening the batting is a bold gamble. Needs a big score to justify the experiment. |
| Nicholas Pooran | LSG | Averaging just 15 in T20s in 2026. But has demolished SRH at this very venue before. Could come alive on a flat Hyderabad track. |
| Mohammed Shami | LSG | Traded from SRH for ₹10 crore. Knows this pitch and these batters intimately. His early wickets could decide the match. |
| Aiden Markram | LSG | Former SRH captain. 286 runs at avg 47.66 in T20 WC 2026. Faces his old franchise with a point to prove. |
Toss Prediction
Because this is a 3:30 PM afternoon game, the usual dew factor is eliminated. That changes the toss equation significantly compared to evening matches.
At this venue in afternoon games, the pitch dries out and slows down in the second innings. The last afternoon match here saw SRH post 286 while the chasing side made 242. The captain winning the toss might opt to bat first and set a massive target, letting the drying pitch do the work later.
However, on this specific pitch, the last 6 matches have been split 3-3 between batting first and chasing. So either decision could work.
Match Prediction
SRH at home against a struggling LSG side. The form book says one thing, but the head-to-head says another. Here is the breakdown.
Where SRH Holds the Edge
Home advantage at the Rajiv Gandhi Stadium is SRH’s biggest weapon. They have turned this ground into a fortress with record-breaking batting performances. Their Abhishek-Head opening pair scored 82 in 5.4 overs against KKR, and on Hyderabad’s flat surface, that destructive power is amplified even further.
SRH also have momentum from the KKR demolition. Posting 226 and then bowling KKR out for 161 showed they can dominate with both bat and ball when they click. Klaasen’s 52 off 35 confirmed his form is back, and Nitish Kumar Reddy (2/17 and Player of the Match vs KKR) adds crucial all-round depth.
Where LSG Holds the Edge
LSG’s head-to-head record (4-2) against SRH is a genuine factor. Despite SRH’s home advantage, LSG have historically found ways to beat them. That mental edge shouldn’t be dismissed, even with LSG’s current poor form.
LSG’s pace battery is their trump card. Shami (who knows this pitch from his SRH days), Nortje (express pace), and Mohsin Khan (economical in the opener) give LSG the bowling firepower to trouble SRH’s aggressive batters. If Shami and Nortje strike early and remove Head and Abhishek cheaply, the match could flip.
Aiden Markram (286 runs at avg 47.66, T20 WC 2026) is in the form of his life. As a former SRH captain, he knows Hyderabad conditions intimately. If Markram plays a big innings, LSG’s batting concerns ease significantly.
Key Concerns for Both Teams
SRH’s concern is their bowling inconsistency. They were hammered by RCB (201 chased in 15.4 overs) but brilliant against KKR (161 all out in 16 overs). Without Pat Cummins, they still lack a leader with the ball. The 36°C afternoon heat will also test their bowlers’ stamina in the death overs.
LSG’s concern is their batting. Getting bowled out for 141 against DC was unacceptable for a squad with this much talent. Pooran (avg 15 in T20s in 2026) and Pant (269 runs in a poor IPL 2025) are both underperforming. If LSG’s top four fails again on a batting-friendly Hyderabad surface, there are no excuses.
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Final Verdict: LSG Leads in Head to Head Battles but SRH is Ready For Fightback
SRH hold a clear edge at around 57-59%. Home advantage, superior current form, and a batting lineup built for Hyderabad’s flat track make them deserved favourites.
LSG’s best chance lies in their pace attack, especially Mohammed Shami using his insider knowledge of SRH’s batters. The head-to-head record (LSG lead 4-2) is the one stat that keeps this from being a one-sided prediction.
Expect a high-scoring afternoon contest with a par score around 200-220. The absence of dew means bowlers will have a slightly better grip on the ball throughout, but Hyderabad’s flat surface and short boundaries will still produce runs in abundance.
