Australia Women look near-certain to seal a semi-final berth against already-eliminated Pakistan Women in Match 21 of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026, carrying a 93% win probability with odds of AUS 1.02 vs PAK 14.00.
Sophie Molineux’s side have won all three group matches and sit top of Group 1. Meanwhile, Fatima Sana’s Pakistan have lost every fixture and became the first team eliminated from the tournament.
Furthermore, the evening fixture unfolds at Headingley, Leeds on Monday, June 23, 2026, at 10:00 PM IST (5:30 PM BST local).
AUS-W vs PAK-W Match Details
| Details | Info |
|---|---|
| Match | Australia Women vs Pakistan Women, 21st Match, Group 1, ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026 |
| Date | Monday, June 23, 2026 |
| Start Time | 10:00 PM IST / 5:30 PM BST local |
| Venue | Headingley Cricket Ground, Leeds |
| Group | Group 1 (Australia, Bangladesh, India, Netherlands, Pakistan, South Africa) |
| Live Streaming (India) | Star Sports / JioHotstar app and website |
AUS-W vs PAK-W Match Odds & Win Probability
The market positions Australia at the shortest odds of the entire tournament at just 1.02, which reflects Pakistan’s winless campaign plus Australia’s perfect record.
| Outcome | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Australia Women to win | 1.02 | ~98% |
| Pakistan Women to win | 14.00 | ~7% |
| Win Probability (Model) | AUS 93% / PAK 7% | Expert call |
Clearly, this shapes up as a total mismatch on paper. However, Fatima Sana’s individual brilliance keeps a tiny door open for Pakistan pride.
Headingley Pitch & Leeds Weather Report
Headingley has offered a balanced surface throughout the tournament, with fast bowlers finding some early movement before batting becomes easier.
Moreover, 3 of the last 4 WT20Is played here went to the side batting first. Therefore, the toss-winning captain should opt to bat first and set a target around 165-170, which should prove competitive.
Additionally, the pitch assists spinners during the second half of the match, which plays into Australia’s hands given their trio of Molineux, King, and Wareham. Weather looks ideal with clear skies and pleasant temperatures.
AUS-W vs PAK-W Head-to-Head
Australia hold a perfect 10-0 record over Pakistan in Women’s T20Is. Pakistan have never beaten Australia in any T20I format.
| Details | Info |
|---|---|
| All-Time T20I Record | Australia 10-0 Pakistan (perfect record) |
| AUS’s WC Record | Won all 3 matches (top of Group 1) |
| PAK’s WC Record | Lost all 3 matches (first team eliminated) |
| AUS’s Form | W L W W W (last 5 T20Is) |
| PAK’s Form | L L L L L (last 5 T20Is) |
| PAK’s Bright Spot | Fatima Sana: 7 wickets in 3 matches |
Consequently, Pakistan carry the burden of never having beaten Australia plus a five-match losing streak. Therefore, anything other than a dominant Australian win would rank as one of the biggest upsets in World Cup history.
AUS-W vs PAK-W Predicted Playing XIs
Here are Predicted Playing XI for both Teams:
Australia Women (AUS-W)
Beth Mooney (WK), Georgia Voll, Ellyse Perry, Ashleigh Gardner, Georgia Wareham, Annabel Sutherland, Sophie Molineux (C), Nicola Carey, Alana King, Kim Garth, Lucy Hamilton.
Pakistan Women (PAK-W)
Muneeba Ali (WK), Gull Feroza, Ayesha Zafar, Iram Javed, Saira Jabeen, Aliya Riaz, Fatima Sana (C), Tuba Hassan, Tasmia Rubab, Nashra Sandhu, Sadia Iqbal.
AUS-W vs PAK-W Probable Best Performers
Here are probable Best Performers from both Teams:
Probable Best Batter: Beth Mooney
Beth Mooney has formed an excellent opening partnership with Georgia Voll and remains the tournament’s leading run-scorer favourite.
Moreover, the left-hander’s ability to anchor an innings plus accelerate through the gears makes her a nightmare for Pakistan’s bowling unit. Consequently, a Mooney half-century looks very much on the cards.
Probable Best Bowler: Fatima Sana
Fatima Sana has been Pakistan’s standout performer with 7 wickets in 3 matches and finishes as their best bowler in every fixture.
Additionally, the captain’s all-round value has made her Pakistan’s most likely wicket-taking threat throughout the tournament. Therefore, her spell against Mooney and Perry becomes the only genuine contest within this contest.
Australia X-Factor: Kim Garth
Kim Garth has led the pace attack effectively throughout the tournament and brings genuine swing plus accuracy that has troubled every top order she has bowled to.
Furthermore, Headingley’s surface offers early movement that suits Garth’s disciplined style. As a result, a 3-wicket haul from the Irish-born seamer could wrap up Pakistan’s innings well before the 20th over.
AUS-W vs PAK-W Top Player Bets
The following value-led markets going into the Headingley fixture, based on tournament form.
| Aspect | Selection | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Featured Bet | Ayesha Zafar under 12.5 runs | Avg under 11 in tournament; under 12 in 5 of last 6 (odds 1.85) |
| Featured Bet | Fatima Sana best PAK bowler | Best bowler in every PAK match; 7 wkts in 3 (odds 3.95) |
| Top AUS Batter | Beth Mooney | Leading run-scorer favourite; excellent with Voll |
| Most Wickets | Kim Garth | Led AUS pace attack; Headingley suits swing |
Note: Odds vary across platforms and shift through the day. Always check the live price on your provider of choice before placing any wager.
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AUS-W vs PAK-W Match Prediction
Australia Women look near-certain to win at 93% win probability, largely because their perfect 3-0 group record, 10-0 all-time head-to-head, and world-class squad depth leave zero room for an upset against an already-eliminated Pakistan side.
Projected scores point to a completely one-sided affair. Australia look set for 170-185 batting first, while Pakistan could struggle to post more than 110-125 given their consistent batting failures.
Mooney’s class plus Australia’s spin trio tilt the scales entirely toward the six-time champions. However, Fatima Sana’s 7 tournament wickets show Pakistan can at least compete in one department, which may produce a moment or two worth watching.
Disclaimer: Predictions and betting tips rely on form, conditions, and recent results. Cricket betting carries financial risk; only play with funds you can afford to lose, and stick to legal platforms in your jurisdiction.
