Bangladesh look strong favourites to seal the series against Australia in the 2nd ODI of the Australia tour of Bangladesh 2026, carrying a 65% win probability after their dominant series opener.
Mehidy Hasan Miraz’s Tigers shocked the visitors with an 86-run DLS win in the 1st ODI, posting 284/8 and bowling out the tourists for 191/9 inside 43 overs.
Furthermore, the must-win clash for Josh Inglis’s side unfolds at the Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur, Dhaka on Thursday, June 11, 2026, at 10:30 AM IST.
BAN vs AUS 2nd ODI Match Details
| Details | Info |
|---|---|
| Match | Bangladesh vs Australia, 2nd ODI, Australia Tour of Bangladesh 2026 |
| Date & Time (IST) | Thursday, June 11, 2026, 10:30 AM |
| Local Start (BST) | 11:00 AM Dhaka |
| Venue | Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur, Dhaka |
| Series Status | Bangladesh lead 3-match ODI series 1-0 |
| Live Streaming (India) | FanCode app (no TV coverage in India) |
BAN vs AUS Match Odds & Win Probability
Pre-match odds have shifted dramatically after Bangladesh’s 86-run thrashing in the opener. The Tigers now sit as clear favourites in the betting markets, a reversal of the 1.57 price Australia carried 48 hours ago.
| Outcome | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bangladesh to win | ~1.80 | ~56% |
| Australia to win | ~2.00 | ~50% |
| Win Probability (Model) | BAN 65% / AUS 35% | Expert call |
*Bookmaker prices vary across platforms and can move further between now and toss. Therefore, always check the latest line on your provider of choice.
Mirpur Pitch & Dhaka Weather Report
The Shere Bangla surface remains traditionally slow and spin-friendly, with the pitch gripping from the first hour through the entire 50 overs.
Moreover, the surface tends to slow down further in the second innings, which makes chasing tricky. Consequently, a first-innings total of 250-260 looks par on this Dhaka deck.
As for the weather, Dhaka stays hot and humid with temperatures around 32-34°C during the day. Additionally, humidity hovers near 70-75%, which could help swing in the opening overs.
However, scattered afternoon showers remain possible in early June, so a brief interruption can’t be discounted entirely.
BAN vs AUS Head-to-Head in ODIs
Australia still dominate the all-time ledger 21-2, though Bangladesh have now picked up their second-ever win thanks to Monday’s DLS triumph in Dhaka.
| Details | Info |
|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 |
| Won by Australia | 21 |
| Won by Bangladesh | 2 |
| No Result / Tied | 0 |
| Bangladesh’s 1st Win | June 2005, Cardiff (Mohammad Ashraful ton) |
| Bangladesh’s 2nd Win | June 9, 2026, Mirpur (86 runs, DLS method) |
| Recent Form – Bangladesh | W W W L W (last five ODIs) |
| Recent Form – Australia | W L L W L (last five ODIs) |
Notably, Bangladesh have broken Australia’s perfect record on Bangladeshi soil. Therefore, the historical narrative no longer applies the way it did 48 hours ago.
BAN vs AUS Predicted Playing XIs
Here are Probable Playing XI of both teams:
Bangladesh (BAN)
Tanzid Hasan, Saif Hassan, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Tawhid Hridoy, Litton Das (WK), Mosaddek Hossain, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (C), Rishad Hossain, Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, Nahid Rana.
Australia (AUS)
Matt Short, Josh Inglis (C/WK), Marnus Labuschagne, Cameron Green, Alex Carey, Matt Renshaw, Cooper Connolly, Xavier Bartlett, Adam Zampa, Nathan Ellis, Ben Dwarshuis.
Note: Australia missing Mitch Marsh (ankle), Travis Head (personal reasons), and Tanveer Sangha (hamstring) through the ODI leg. Todd Murphy remains in the squad as a spin-bowling option.
BAN vs AUS Probable Best Performers
Here are Probable Best Performers from both teams:
Probable Best Batter: Tanzid Hasan
Tanzid Hasan walks in as Bangladesh’s in-form opener, having racked up 175 runs across the recent New Zealand ODI series at an average of 87.50.
Moreover, the left-hander brings a strike-rate that lets Bangladesh attack the new ball before spinners take over. Consequently, his powerplay impact becomes the single biggest factor in tonight’s contest.
Probable Best Bowler: Mehidy Hasan Miraz
Mehidy Hasan Miraz captains the Tigers and carries the bowling attack as their primary spinner.
Furthermore, the off-spinner picked up 11 wickets across the recent New Zealand series, and Mirpur conditions suit his accuracy plus drift. Therefore, his middle-overs spell will likely decide which way this series swings.
Australia X-Factor: Adam Zampa
Adam Zampa sits three wickets short of 200 ODI scalps and faces a Bangladesh batting card that has struggled against quality leg-spin through the middle overs.
Additionally, the Mirpur surface offers more grip than most subcontinental pitches. As a result, a five-wicket haul from Zampa remains very much on the cards.
BAN vs AUS Top Player Bets (Run Totals & Wickets)
The following over/under markets carry the most value going into the 2nd ODI based on form and matchup analysis.
| Player | Market | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tanzid Hasan (BAN) | Over 35.5 runs | 1.85 |
| Alex Carey (AUS) | Over 21.5 runs | 1.85 |
| Adam Zampa (AUS) | Over 1.5 wickets | 1.65 |
| Mehidy Hasan Miraz (BAN) | Over 1.5 wickets | 1.80 |
*Indicative odds. Markets shift through the day, so always check the live price on your platform of choice before placing any wager.
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BAN vs AUS 2nd ODI Prediction
Bangladesh look strong favourites to seal the series 2-0 at 65% win probability, largely because home conditions plus Miraz’s spin attack now hold every psychological edge.
Moreover, Australia arrive depleted, 0-1 down in the series, and short of Marsh, Head, and Sangha. Inglis must lead from the front with the bat for the visitors to even compete on a slow Mirpur deck.
However, Australia carry too much pedigree to fold without a fight. A 50-over masterclass from Zampa plus a Cameron Green hundred could still flip this series narrative entirely.
Disclaimer: Predictions and betting tips rely on form, conditions, and recent results. Cricket betting carries financial risk; only play with funds you can afford to lose, and stick to legal platforms in your jurisdiction.
